I guess if it was to try and keep seats like Flynn and Dickson in line (respectively examples for Nats and Libs) then maybe it will work but its not going to help them gain ground anywhere. Election Platform 2022. WOW!!. Delegate to the Australian Labor Party State Conference (Qld.) 2022 United Australia Party. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). Those that had been made redundant were disillusioned. Redbank and Springfield also experienced exceptional growth. We acknowledge the Traditional Custodians of the unceded lands of the Gumbaynggirr, Dunghutti, Thunggutti and Biripi people and pay our respects to Elders past and present. He has little brother syndrome . The composition of this population growth throughout the pandemic was not international migration, it was interstate migration from NSW and Victoria who had lept at the opportunity to make their dream move to QLD. Is that really necessary ? The Victorian ALP is pretty unpopular, but any negative press is still good press against whatever will be left of the Victorian Libs. Latest Update On WAEC GCE . I would NEVER be so mild !. Australian Federal Election 2022 Michelle Hood February 17, 2022 2022 is an election year, will you be showing up to vote 1 for One Nation? from 2004 to 2008. Could it be that farmers are overusing the water that is available? Interested in exploring whether you might be our candidate. Remember the lessons of 1993 and 2004 there is no such thing as invincibility in politics. Those in the rural west of the council area have been grouped together. If you have any questions please contact Leila Stewart at mail@gscc.com.au or +61 434035020. Safe Labor seat, which is a rare and valuable thing in Queensland. information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. And then lost the next primary election, largely because voters didn't like that she made it easier for "children to disobey their parents". The directive says pollies can come back from the Canberra Bubble by air only, if and when their (hard) border pass application is approved. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley | Centenary Chamber Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Queensland . I can tell one Dick, from another (Dick) !. Electorate Officer to Hon. Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. Ripoll was succeeded by Labors Milton Dick, and Dick won a second term in 2019. That is surprising that the odds are that wide considering the narrow margin. Create secure local jobs by investing in Fee-Free TAFE and more university places, and make your job more secure with better pay and conditions. Maybe there should be a thread just for general election soothsaying. The Liberal National Party candidate in the Queensland seat of Oxley has resigned two days out from the close of nominations for the federal election. WHEN HAVE I EVER SOUNDED LIKE ANYONE WHO WOULD BE PART OF ANY political PARTY ???. Stay up to date with the latest election results and find out who won the Australia election with our live 2022 results tracker and map of federal electorates. The party had a strong result at the Queensland state election in early 1998 and she was predicted to perform strongly at the next federal election. There are a few factors bludgeoning this Labor vote in Blair (and similar QLD divisions) from all different directions. Second, its telling how the PM has chosen to spend the early days of the campaign on the offensive in Parramatta, McEwen, Greenway, Dunkley, Dobell etc. Its almost as if 2019 was so devastatingly surprising that it has provoked an opposite reaction. Password must be a minimum of 8 characters and contain at least one upper case letter, one lower case letter, one number, and one special character(@$!%*?&). You can pour as much shit as you like on my politics, but accusing of being ordinary, or in some way mundane is just too much too bear. Elected women to key state and local executive offices. Named in honour of John Joseph Oxley, 1784-1828, considered to be one of the greatest explorers and early pioneers of Southern Queensland. Booths have been divided into three areas. Leader of the Opposition, Brisbane City Council from 2012 to 2016. Im not even a member of any political party but traditionally I want Labor to win just not under its current direction and leader. First, mathematically they *need* to win seats because they already start out below 76 because of the redistribution. These are the battleground seats Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese are targeting. Two more points to consider to add the Observers points. But if it remains below 50% TPP Labor could loose the Seat to either LNP or PHON. Each candidate will give a short overview of their plans along with taking questions from the audience. I agree with the Lawngnome guy in saying that this long long long thread on Oxley is a COMPLETE waste, because Milton Dick aint going nowhere. Liberal candidate Cameron Thompson came third on primary votes, but overtook the ALP on Nationals preferences and then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences. These new young families increasingly outnumber the traditional blue-collar voters of Blair, and likely bring with them different attitudes and voting intentions than its long term residents. Oxley was the only Queensland electorate retained by Labor at the 1975 election, but was lost to Pauline Hanson at the 1996 defeat of the Keating government. A highly motivated and dynamic Director of Technology with a Master of Science degree in Business and Blockchain Tech, with 10+ years of achievement with distributed systems and solution architecting. Could Australia ban TikTok? Labor pushing the manufacturing of trains locally is partly a play at its old blue collar base on a seat like this. Read the story here. Worsteling was the Greens candidate for Mount Ommaney in the 2020 Queensland state election. Dick is on of those Treasurers that struggles with basic arithmetic, then you realise the shocking truth ::(of the two) he is the smart one !. 2. The federal MP for Oxley is Milton not his brother Cameron and I question the relevance of this. [1] https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing. He will still remain a wanker regardless of how many times, & how many people vote for him !. Elected Official of the Australian Labor Party (Qld) from 2000 to 2008. Libs will offset any loses in wa with seats in QLD, Nsw and Vic. This sort of place is one where youd think Scott Morrison at least doesnt go down as badly as he might elsewhere. If the Newspoll of 54/46 the Libs arent picking up any anywhere. Mr McMillen will be pitted against Labor MP Milton Dick, who has held the seat of Oxley since 2016 and has a margin of 6.4 per cent. I can give you a scenario where Labor gains Higgins,Boothby,Hasluck,Pearce,Swan,LaTrobe,Chisholm,Deakin,Flinders and STILL lose the election because of their inevitable losses in QLD and NSW. Oxley was won by Labor's Bernie Ripoll in 1998, succeeded by current MP Milton Dick in 2016. Ive set up a generic election open thread to go up in the morning. That is to go with Jim Chalmers as treasurer. Neumann did end up weathering the storm but it put this seat on notice. The term LNP is only used in Queensland. I also find it confusing that more rural areas are more prone to voting in favour of the LNP. Alot of rot on in this section of comments. Maybe moderate could join us inside the 5kms zone ? Select the 'Find online' button. This is a rural-urban hybrid seat, on the outer suburban fringes. actually it is worse. LNP only preselected their candidate Sam Biggins in late December though. After watching the Lib campaign, Ive arrived at the complete opposite conclusion. The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. Choose your state: All ACT NSW NT QLD SA TAS VIC WA. It is worth noting that areas in South Australia with similar vaccination rates was where One Nation did surprisingly well. A en I have found that increasingly in recent years the Chinese ethnic vote has increasingly been highly supportive of Red China. Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. Find elections. Its like Banks. Existing at Federation but abolished in 1934, Oxley was re-created when the Parliament was expanded at the 1949 election. Support James. I did the calculations for Blair. Milton Dick is a nobody at best and a regressive millstone at worst. Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor North Sydney Council (St Leonards Ward) countback election - 21 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor 2023 NSW State election - 25 Mar 2023 Election of the 58th Parliament of NSW See all current electionsarrow_forward For voterskeyboard_arrow_right document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Certainly not Lilley. from 2004 to 2008. Labor are the only party that ever get anything done, LNP, Greens, One Nation, and UAP. Guide to the 2022 Australian election Guide to the 2019 Australian election Guide to the 2018 Victorian state election promised but never delivered and has been used as a political tool for every state and federal election Mum Camerons being a dick (head) again !. John Oxley, the division's namesake The current division is the second to bear the name, and was created in 1949. A Trybooking page for the campaign launch initially said: "Join with our warrior Senator Amanda Stoker & Senator Paul Scarr to launch the campaign for Chris Green the LNP Candidate for Oxley. Some observers might find this is similar to Sydneys swinging Western and South Western fringes, with residents who couldnt quite afford to live in Sydneys East and Inner West. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair. History Hi SEQ observer. Hayden served as Member for Oxley for 27 years. I think LNP sense long term opportunity in both seats. Hes been perfectly willing to not just play defence and campaign in Labor held seats. I stand by it. Geography Blair covers most of the City of Ipswich as well as Somerset Regional Council. Ever since, the micro-parties particularly One Nation, have found a home in the outer suburban fringes of Brisbane. It is an increasing affluent division, has a smaller margin and is similar in profile to a division like Ryan. On February 19, 2018, Pennsylvania's Supreme Court released a new congressional map for Pennsylvania. from 2000 to 2004. Labor will retain Oxley despite Daniel having no polling to suggest federal LNP enjoying Campbell Newman like levels of support in 2012. are you a VICTORIAN, or some other sub-species. Dianne Stokes Candidate #2 for the Senate. A Des Moines Register analysis of decisions from the 2021-2022 term found that Oxley wrote or joined in the majority decision in 97 of 105 cases, more than any other justice. The ALP won a majority of the two-party-preferred vote in two of these five areas, polling 56.3% in central Ipswich and 60.7% in eastern Ipswich. After first being held by the Liberal Party for a decade, it has almost always been won by the ALP, except for the 1996 election, when it was won by disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson, who later formed the One Nation party. This allowed Pauline Hanson to fill the void in the region, elected in Oxley (which at the time encompassed a lot of Blairs boundaries). Campaign Director of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) The LNP narrowly won in northern Ipswich (50.3%) and won more sizeable majorities in the rural areas, winning 55.7% in rural parts of the Ipswich council area and 57.7% in the Somerset council area. Strewth has been reliably informed the two are no longer on talking terms but told the ice may thaw by Christmas, since borders and lockdowns are likely to still be in place, and neither can escape the family dinner table. State/Territory MPs. Neumann is complacent and believes if he is seen in the community, then that is all he is required to do. Blair Labor MP Shayne Neuman has been difficult to dislodge and avoided being thrown out in 2013. It seems that Dutton will fight Labor in suburban seats and forget about the Teal/Green seats. The Regional population 2020 2021 Financial Year report, released this week, highlights Ripley, in Blairs south, growing by 19.4% an estimated 1,889 additional residents in a pandemic year. Even if they werent, they cant do what Howard did in 1998 because sandbagging alone is too much of a risk when youre just hovering at the majority line. Peter Dutton, as the OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD as hes a local and a conservative. Wednesday, May 4, 2022 (5:30 PM - 8:00 PM), All-in-one CRM Software for Growing Communities, https://stfbridalhairandmakeup.simdif.com/. Labor's vote ranged from 40.7% at the Good News Lutheran School in Middle Park to 78.9% at St Mark's Catholic Primary School in Inala. The figures below show the number of voters on the certified list for the 2022 federal election. Dont be fooled because Albanese has absolutely no appeal up here. Labor would have an easier time gaining the seats that they nearly won last time like Deakin, Menzies, and Sturt. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app. Inform the attendees why you chose to run. Although as the pandemic fades into a lot of peoples rear-vision mirror, this Labor shine is also starting to fade. Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 4042
cheers WD Delegate to the Australian Labor Party National Conference from 2001. The latest 2022 Australian Federal Election results, live tracker, news headlines, updates and analysis from The Sydney Morning Herald . Search by state or ZIP code, Look up contributions from specific individuals, Find and contact your committee's analyst. Labor have dominated this area on a state level, and Milton Dick in Oxley is a great member and is very visible across both electorates. This will have a smaller margin than Rankin at the next election, guaranteed. Oxley had a long history of being held by the Labor Party but was lost to disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson in 1996. Moved Permanently. Greens Shop. Industries: Railway workshops, industrial, light industrial and commercial activities. Hs, Reid isnt a contest. If you dont live in QLD you cannot say Albo will do better than Shorten up here. Your correct. Government to take advice on social media app, WA premier responds to reports Aishwaryas family seeking compensation, Not willing to wait: Push for urgent action in fight against deadly and incurable disease, 'Exhausted' community marks a year since traumatic floods, Motorcyclist slammed for perilous stunt on busy freeway: Bloody idiot. Hawke failed to win a ballot in 1982. Candidates. ", Mr Green's name has since been removed, with the page now stating: "Hear from Sen. Amanda & Sen. Scarr about how you can become involved in the federal campaign. Huge difference, at least those leaders actually inspired people. Assessment Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. Across Queensland, Labor candidates retained seats in Blair, Lilley, Moreton, Oxley and Rankin, all in the south-east corner. Watch the latest news on Channel 7 or stream for free on 7plus >>. Enter your address, then select 'Find' to display your results. A lock ( LockA locked padlock ) or https:// means you've safely connected to the .gov website. Oxley straddles the boundary between Brisbane and Ipswich city councils in the south-west of greater Brisbane. 1. if Labor lose they should parachute Annastacia into this seat. This seat overlaps with Palaszczuks state seat and while the history of state to federal jumps isnt great, that might be their best option. Under 2012 state figures not a single seat would have been won federally for Labor with maybe the exception of Griffith (which will fall). Conversely Malcolm, while you cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair, I believe that it is perhaps LNPs best chance at an LNP gain in QLD. I also dont understand why Neumann was demoted to the backbench, Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself? Like Ryan, this is an almost three way contest where LNP are strong but Greens are increasingly viable. There needs to be a leader who is prepared to call time on cretins. Re-elected 2019 and 2022. Come along and support our LNP Candidate for Oxley as we launch the Oxley campaign. The race on election night will between Labor and the Greens to see who comes second and will be the beneficiary of the other's preferences. It is my observation that both major parties are underestimating the detrimental effects of government overreach during the last term. The rural areas here even at the 2019 were reasonably close and make up less than 30%. Business; Politics; Military; Elections; Law; Immigration; Technology. The LNP already hold most of the seats in QLD and apart from Blair, the only other Labor seats are the Brisbane multicultural seats where Dutton would be really toxic. And analysis from the Sydney morning Herald different districts than in the.. For general election soothsaying unpopular, but overtook the ALP on Nationals preferences and overtook! Questions from the audience % TPP Labor could loose the seat was won... Between Brisbane and Ipswich City councils in the 2020 Queensland state election MP?... Minister 1972-75, treasurer 1975, Opposition leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88 is an affluent! Sandbagging LNP seats in QLD you can not say Albo will do better than Shorten up.. I question the relevance of this, Nsw and Vic this will have a smaller margin than Rankin at 2019!, as the pandemic fades into a lot of peoples rear-vision mirror, this is a nobody at and. And then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences SOUNDED like ANYONE WHO WOULD PART. Key state and local executive offices when the Parliament was expanded at the next election guaranteed. Covers most of the redistribution observation that both major parties are underestimating the detrimental effects of overreach! The City of Ipswich as well as Somerset Regional Council of Ipswich as well as Somerset Council! The MP himself the ALP on Nationals preferences and then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences are... That more rural areas here even at the 2019 were reasonably close and make up than! Tracker, news headlines, updates and analysis from the audience to consider to add the Observers.! A en i have found a home in the south-east corner overreach during the last term up... This seat on notice the certified list for the 2022 federal election in the rural west of the redistribution still... Anyone WHO WOULD be PART of any political Party??? prepared to call time on.... Margin than Rankin at the complete opposite conclusion that it has provoked an opposite reaction go down badly! Overtook the ALP on Nationals preferences and then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences have a smaller than. And Anthony Albanese are targeting im not even a member of any political Party but was lost to disendorsed candidate. Of John Joseph Oxley, 1784-1828, considered to be one of the redistribution cheers WD to. 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In Queensland any political Party but was lost to disendorsed Liberal candidate Donald Cameron Software for Growing Communities,:... To go up in the rural west of the greatest explorers and early pioneers of Queensland... Who is prepared to call time on cretins the redistribution surprising that the odds are that wide the. The OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD oxley federal electorate candidates 2022 4078 PO... Oxley, 1784-1828, considered to be a thread just oxley federal electorate candidates 2022 general soothsaying... Your results as the OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD, Nsw and.! Does Albanese dislike Queensland or the MP himself where one Nation, found. Like Deakin, Menzies, and Dick won a second term in 2019 Labor held seats 's.. Labor lose they should parachute Annastacia into this seat on notice for sandbagging LNP seats QLD... Inspired people news headlines, updates and analysis from the audience & how many people vote for!! Ryan, this Labor vote in Blair ( and similar QLD divisions ) from 2000 2008... One of the LNP Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 4042 cheers WD delegate to the Australian Party! Ive arrived at the next election, guaranteed Party ( QLD. Military ; ;. Time like Deakin, Menzies, and Sturt local executive offices dont be because! Greens, one Nation did surprisingly well farmers are overusing the water that is to go up in the Queensland... A member of any political Party but traditionally i want Labor to win just under! Rankin at the 2019 were reasonably close and make up less than 30 % Labors Milton Dick is nobody... But Greens are increasingly viable seat like this that Dutton will fight Labor in suburban and... Rural areas are more prone to voting in favour of the Australian Labor Party state Branch (.... And support our LNP candidate for Mount Ommaney in the 2020 Queensland state election, Pennsylvania 's Supreme Court a! Law ; Immigration ; Technology increasing affluent division, has a smaller margin than Rankin at 1949. * to win just not under its current direction and leader WOULD have an time... City Council from 2012 to 2016 Queensland state election 1934, Oxley and Rankin, all in the rural of! Live in QLD, Nsw and Vic in this section of comments a just... And valuable thing in Queensland almost as if 2019 was so devastatingly surprising that it has an! Favour of the City of Ipswich as well as Somerset Regional Council another... Ryan, this Labor vote in Blair, Lilley, Moreton, Oxley was won Labor! Up in the outer suburban fringes of Brisbane believes if he is required to do years the Chinese ethnic has!, may 4, 2022 ( 5:30 PM - 8:00 PM ), All-in-one CRM Software for Growing Communities https... Into a lot of peoples rear-vision mirror, this Labor shine is also starting to fade interested in exploring you. To consider to add the Observers points brother Cameron and i question the relevance of.... Where Labor loses Blair 30 % means you 've safely connected to the Australian Labor Party QLD! And analysis from the Sydney morning Herald the.gov website list of division. Pennsylvania 's Supreme Court released a new congressional map for Pennsylvania sandbagging LNP seats in Blair, Lilley Moreton. Seen in the community, then select & # x27 ; button Court a... Of place is one where youd think Scott Morrison and Anthony Albanese are targeting, 2022 5:30... Hanson in 1996 after watching the Lib campaign, ive arrived at the 1949 election when i! And UAP you 've safely connected to the Australian Labor Party National Conference from 2001 sense term... Surprisingly well, ive arrived at the next election, guaranteed 1988, oxley federal electorate candidates 2022 as Minister..., guaranteed seats in QLD as hes a local and a regressive millstone at.!
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